Stocks near 200-d MA Support

The following spreadsheet consists of 175 stocks that are trending back towards their 200 day moving average while maintaining strong relative strength. It’s essentially a screen of the stocks that have potential to catch support at the 200-day moving average and lead the market IF (a BIG “IF”) it decides to resume the up-trend.

I’ll narrow down this list of 175 to 10 – 20 of the best, technically, in my opinion (later this week).

Take a look:

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Stocks to Watch: April 3, 2011

This post contains weekly charts of several interesting stocks that I am following personally and on twitter (disclosure: I own shares in more than one). Each of the following stocks have been trending higher on above average volume.

$LOGM – 46.08
$MOBI – 12.85
$NXPI – 30.59
$SODA – 46.80
$SVN – 21.83
$MMYT – 30.99

Let’s see if the $DJIA and $COMPQ will cooperate by maintaining the up-trend. Both are showing some signs of exhausting but we’ll trade what the charts are doing, not what we think they may or should be doing.

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Strong Stock Charts

Today’s screen features quality stocks with increasing institutional fund sponsorship and charts with trends moving higher (trading above key moving averages as well). Not many interesting stock charts exist in this market but I can say that these look strong when compared to peers.

The stocks also meet the requirements below:

  • Earnings per Share (EPS) Rating: Increasing quarter over quarter
  • Relative Price Strength (RS) Rating: 60+
  • % of the number of mutual funds owning for current quarter vs. prior quarter: Increased by 10% or more
  • Stocks trading at new 52-week high or within 15% of 52-week high
  • 50-Day Average Volume was greater than or equal to 100% (Friday’s market)

Stock charts listed in alphabetical order:
(ACET), (AIPC), (CFFN), (COCO), (COGT), (DSCP), (EBS), (ENSG), (EZPW), (FCFS), (INSU), (LHCG), (LPHI), (MYGN), (THOR), (TSYS)

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Basic Materials (Oil) Stocks Making New Highs

Only thirteen stocks made my new highs screen based on specific criteria as described in this post. Of the thirteen stocks, half were from the oil and gas industry which tells me that it’s a short term leader during any up-trends in the recent market downturn. Steel and iron, specialty chemicals and synthetics were also among the few stocks making new highs on strong looking charts (when compared to recent beaten down leaders).

Each of these industry groups fall under a broader sector labeled “basic materials”. It couldn’t be clearer as to where the smart money was throwing funds today as volume spiked across these industries and especially among the stocks making new highs.

I understand that recent market leaders such as AAPL, BIDU and JASO (up more than 12%) were also higher today but they are still far from new 52-week highs and some are still under key moving averages such as the 50-day.

Basic Materials: Independent Oil and Gas, Specialty Chemicals, Steel and Iron and Synthetics flexed their muscle today and the stocks below were among the few making new 52-week highs. Making new highs after the recent market downturn speaks volumes for the relative strength of these stocks. Several of them are extended from ideal entry points but do not leave these off any near term watch lists on the long side.

Trade the trends – one of the simplest methods to make money in this world. I am not calling for a bull market but these stocks have support from the smart money and I have no problem jumping aboard even if it only last a short while.

Stocks hitting New Highs Monday on Strong Volume:

  • MTL – 111.60, Mechel Steel Group was up 10.60% on volume 97% larger than the daily average
  • EOG – 98.43, EOG Resources was up 4.58% on volume 112% larger than the daily average
  • SWN – 61.87, Southwestern Energy was up 6.54% on volume 63% larger than the daily average
  • RRC – 59.61, Range Resources was up 4.82% on volume 19% larger than the daily average
  • NEU – 60.97, Newmarket Corp. was up 3.90% on volume 341% larger than the daily average
  • KWK – 32.03, Quicksilver Resources was up 7.48% on volume 21% larger than the daily average
  • CCC – 18.09, Calgon Carbon was up 8.13% on volume 148% larger than the average
  • WMS – 39.85, WMS Industries was up 3.45% on volume 65% larger than the daily average

Study the charts as they are among the best looking in today’s market. It’s hard to buy new highs, especially in this weak market environment but if you must buy long, think about these candidates.

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Should we Accumulate Shares?

The stocks below represent current leaders that may be presenting opportunities near the two major moving averages. The first list presents stocks at or near their 200-d moving averages (they are also trading below their 50-d moving averages).

The second list contains some of the largest gainers of 2007, the leaders just about every stock blog has been covering over the past 6-12 months. These stocks are trading at or near their 50-d moving averages with further room to correct as their 200-d moving averages are considerably lower than their current trading range.

The bull may have another leg and if it does, these stocks should present some of the best risk-to-reward ratios moving forward. Don’t question the setups! Take the trades, accumulate shares and only sell if the setup fails and reaches your maximum risk.

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Stocks Approaching the 200-d Moving Average:

  • SNCR – 30.04, down for the fifth consecutive week as the IPO leader from 2007 approaches the 200-d moving average for the first time. Support in this area is a buying opportunity (accumulation). Give it some time to base and catch support
  • SLB – 91.04, look for the stock to correct down to the 200-d moving average and build a base for the first time since the up-trend started in early 2007 at $60 (it successfully completed the $60-$100 run).
  • GRMN – 82.32, the former high flyer is down $40 as it approaches the 200-d m.a. for the first time since early 2007. A base here is a great accumulation opportunity.
  • STLD – 46.80, allow the stock to correct and gather support just below the 200-d m.a. and then add shares (this strategy has offered solid risk/reward over the past couple of years).
  • CELG – 62.28, the stock is currently setting up its fourth 200-d moving average base over the past two years. Set the risk/reward and pounce.
  • PCU – 103.00, look for support to build above the 200-d m.a. which is also near the psychologically important triple digit threshold. What an amazing run!
  • NVDA – 30.03, allow the stock to correct further towards the 200-d m.a. and wait for support to form before setting up and ideal accumulation point.

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Stocks Hugging the 50-d Moving Average:

  • AAPL – 153.76, the stock sliced the 50-d moving average yesterday on above average volume and has along way to go before reaching the 200-d m.a. (below $125)
  • GOOG – 632.07, the stock has shed more than $100 over the past few days as it looks to find the first level of support at the 50-d m.a. The 200-d m.a. currently sits near $520. I wouldn’t be surprised if it corrected down towards the 200-d m.a.
  • BIDU – 301.50, this stock has been hit very hard over the past five days as it has lost more than $125 from its peak high. Baidu is currently sitting at the 50-d m.a. with its 200-d m.a. just above $183.
  • RIMM – 102.60, Three days of hard drops as the stock now sits at the 50-d m.a. for the first time since August (and June before that). The 200-d m.a. is currently below $70.
  • EDU – 68.40, the Chinese leader is touching its 50-d m.a. for the first time since late summer with its 200-d m.a. down near $52.
  • JASO – 48.67, the stock made a large reversal up near $72 which sent it into the current correction back down near the 50-d m.a. Volume has increased immensely.
  • BX – 22.26, the stock took a hard 8.32% hit yesterday and continues to struggle near the 50-d m.a. It is still above the prior support of $21.30. I still like the stock long term but some concern has crept in.

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