Dog Days of Summer

It’s a slow week but I plan to add at least one book review and one final stock watchlist before the long 4th of July weekend. But for today, in tribute of an upcoming game I have in the city – my dog Bob is playing poker!

Take a close look and you will see that I added my dog into the poker picture below!
Now, that’s what I call a good looking lab!

bob.jpg

Bernard M. Baruch

Wise quotes from Bernard M. Baruch:
I highly recommend the book (one of the best I ever read):
My Own Story – written by Bernard at the age of 87 in 1957.

Bernard Baruch was a stock market speculator who became a millionaire by age 30 in the early 1900’s and eventually a statesman and advisor to multiple Presidents during WWI and WWII.

Wikipedia:

Bernard Baruch was born in Camden, South Carolina to Simon and Belle Baruch. He was the second of four sons. His father Dr. Simon Baruch (1840-1921) was a German immigrant of Jewish ethnicity who came to the United States in 1855. He became a surgeon on the staff of Confederate general Robert E. Lee during the American Civil War and a pioneer in physical therapy. His mother’s Sephardic Jewish ancestors came to New York in the 1800s and were in the shipping business. In 1881 the family moved to New York City, and Bernard Baruch graduated from the City College of New York eight years later. He eventually became a broker and then a partner in the firm of A. Housman and Company. With his earnings and commissions he bought a seat on the New York Stock Exchange for $18,000 (~$458K in 2007 dollars). There he amassed a fortune before the age of thirty via speculation in the sugar market. In 1903 he had his own brokerage firm and had gained the reputation of “The Lone Wolf on Wall Street” because of his refusal to join any other financial house. By 1910, he had become one of Wall Street’s financial leaders.

  • A speculator is a man who observes the future, and acts before it occurs.
  • If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he is wrong.
  • During my eighty-seven years I have witnessed a whole succession of technological revolutions. But none of them has done away with the need for character in the individual or the ability to think.
  • Age is only a number, a cipher for the records. A man can’t retire his experience. He must use it. Experience achieves more with less energy and time.
  • Do not blame anybody for your mistakes and failures.
  • Every man has a right to his opinion, but no man has a right to be wrong in his facts.
  • I made my money by selling too soon.
    I never lost money by turning a profit.
  • Most of the successful people I’ve known are the ones who do more listening than talking.
  • Never pay the slightest attention to what a company president ever says about his stock.
  • Whatever failures I have known, whatever errors I have committed, whatever follies I have witnessed in private and public life have been the consequence of action without thought.

Please note that these simplified quotes don’t even scratch the surface of the contents of this book – it may even be an insult to list so few.

Market Snapshot

I’ll let the images do the talking today…

Daily Screen for Thursday 6-26-08

I noticed that my screens were lacking stocks making new highs (especially on above average volume) and stocks making moves on above average volume across the board. The general market indices were higher but the leading stocks (the few we have left) were not supporting the moves. Overall, the NASDAQ and DOW are trading below their respective 200-day moving averages and are still trending downward on the weekly charts with resistance at the long term moving average.

I was able to pinpoint a few interesting candidates tonight with VISN as my highlighted stock, a stock that has made multiple blog posts since May.

Visionchina Media (VISN), 18.13, a stock I have been starting to profile in multiple blog posts over the past month as it seems to be getting support at the 50-day moving average. It was up almosy 10% today on volume 79% larger than average. It did slide to close the day but looks to be trading in an opportunity area. $15 to $18 is an area to grab shares.

6/4/08: VisionChina Media, Inc. (VISN) – $18.84

Potential Trade Set-up:
Entry: $16.00
Risk is set at 1.0% of total portfolio or $1,000 of $100k
Stop Loss is 10% or $14.72
Number of Shares: 781
Position Size is $12,500
Risk is $1.28
Target is $30 for a 10-to-1 risk/reward ratio.
A move back to $23 with a buy at $16 would be a 5-to-1 risk/reward trade.

Stocks making multiple screens tonight:
CVLT, MA, PPO, PSEM, SLH

Stocks of Interest:
AVAV, EIG, PPO, SLH, SXE, VISN

Aerovironment Inc. (AVAV), 28.64, the stock gapped up for a 14.79% gain today on volume 502% larger than the average. It looks as if the momentum is about to turn-up on this stock as it is now in new high territory

Employers Holdings (EIG), 20.39, the stock was up 2.21% on volume 43% larger than the average as it is now trading above the 200-d moving average. Up more than 30% since February.

Polypore International (PPO), 26.42, up more than 10% today on volume 38% larger than the average as the stock looks to make a new all-time high. It has more than doubled since the fall-out after the IPO debut last summer. Buys along the 50-d m.a. are ideal.

Solera Holdings (SLH), 27.85, up more than 5% today on volume slightly larger than the average as it continues to trend higher (ever so slowly).

Stanley (SXE), 33.20, an interesting stock that seems to be building a cup shaped base over the past seven months with some support at the 200-d m.a. Have some trouble with studder-steps in recent weeks but overall, the chart catches my eye on a weekly view.

Money Makers: IPI and TITN

I have been away for the past few days but IPI and TITN continue to make new highs. The two stocks are up 49% and 69% respectively. I do need to catch up on responding to comments since last Thursday. Follow the trend – simple concept.

(IPI) Intrepid Potash, Inc.

(TITN) Titan Machinery Inc.