Stock of the Day
Rochester Medical (ROCM)
Monday’s Closing Price: ROCM – $15.28
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Supplies
52-week Price: $6.85 – $29.76
The company develops, manufactures and markets a line of latex-free and PVC-free urinary continence and urine drainage care products. Eight of the past eleven quarters have reported higher earnings than the same period from the previous year.
The stock is not covered by many analysts and is thinly owned by institutional investors as you can see below. Add this to a small float and we have a stock that can pop at any time just as it did earlier this year. Based on the trade setup I presented yesterday, I have decided to develop two daily charts that explain the potential price targets in greater detail. The first chart shows a target zone based on the gap-down area from late April and early May. Can the stock trend higher and fill this gap? If so, we have a nice 50% gain on capital invested and a solid cash increase based on risk (potential 7R trade).
The second chart overlays Fibonacci retracements and shows an identical target zone based on the 38.2% and 50% retracement levels. None of this is an exact science but it gives us an educated guess as to where the stock could move if it starts to trend or even pop. The stock is trading between the 50-d and 200-d moving averages and looks to be trading sideways in a suspicious manner. I have no idea what is going on after the huge run-up and breakdown earlier this year but I like the risk-to-reward setup. This is what I wrote yesterday when I first screened the stock:
Late Buy Opportunities:
“Rochester Medical (ROCM) has had one heck of a year as it blasted higher from $7.50 to as high as $29 in six months of time. Since the peak, the stock has corrected by 50% over the past two months and is now trading with a suspicious quietness above the 200-d moving average. Is there some type of news that will be released that will propel this stock higher? I don’t know but the trade setup is ideal so take it. Something may be going on behind the scenes so take the nice risk-to-reward setup.”
Institutional Analysis:
Held by Institutions: 21%
Money Market: 40
Mutual Fund: 15
Other: 1
New Positions: 27
Positions Sold: 2
Shares Held: 2.7 mil
Shares Held Previous Period: 2.1 mil
Shares Bought: 1.5 mil
Shares Sold: 0.9 mil
Value of Shares Bought: $22.7 mil
Value of Shares Sold: 14.1 mil
Top Institutional holders, Shares Held:
Oberweis Asset Management Inc., 413,650 shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors Inc., 281,774 shares
Allianz Global Investors of America L.P., 200,000 shares
The Vanguard Group, Inc., 166,467 shares
Bridgeway Capital Management, Inc., 152,800 shares
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