75 Most Powerful Blacks on Wall Street

I was IM’ing my friend last week, a childhood buddy since I was six years old and we got to talking about an article he read in a magazine and asked me if I would write a post about it during Black History month. How could I say no because I think it is an excellent idea. Reggie (he won’t let me post his last name) is a young investment banker on Wall Street, an African American that understands the struggles endured of those before him to make it big on the largest stage.

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We lived in the same complex when I was young but then lost touch when our parents moved to different towns during high school. He was one of my best friends and although we were children, we always talked about growing up and becoming rich while playing stick ball in the parking lot. We wanted to be baseball players, not Wall Street players! If it were not for the internet and e-mail, I probably wouldn’t keep in touch and that would be a shame. We have grown apart during our adult years but we will never forget where we came from and I feel honored to write this post for Reggie and all African Americans during this celebrated month.

I won’t take credit for any of the research or information below as it belongs entirely to Black Enterprise Magazine and the writers that compiled the list:
Carolyn M. Brown
Additional reporting by Denise Campbell, Hyacinth B. Carbon, Sonya A. Donaldson, Alan Hughes & Tennille M. Robinson

October Edition, 2006
Page 136 – 10,970 words

Headline: 75 Most Powerful Blacks on Wall Street
Highlight: Whether they’re in investment banking, sales and trading, asset management, or private equity, these power players move the financial markets

Brief Synopsis directly from the Article:

“THEY’RE WALL STREET’S BILLION-dollar players. Some raise capital to build or improve schools, hospitals, airports, and railroads from Los Angeles to London. Others have been responsible for financing the next generation of entrepreneurs and the products that will change the way we live, work, and play.

Whether they are engaged in investment banking, sales and trading, asset management, or private equity, those who wield power on Wall Street know that success is about more than negotiating money-making deals–it’s also about brokering relationships. “So much revolves around opportunities to bring in business,” says John W. Rogers Jr., chairman and CEO of Ariel Capital Management L.L.C. (No. 2 on the BE ASSET MANAGERS list with $19.3 billion in assets under management). Bottom line: being a power player means having the right connections.

In Ariel’s case, it’s also about branding–an art that Rogers and President Mellody Hobson have mastered. Once one sees the company’s logo–the turtle–you instantly know Ariel’s reputation for steady returns and profitability. The dynamic duo made the cut among the most powerful African Americans on Wall Street not only because of their negotiation, money management, and relationship-building prowess but, like the turtle, their longevity at the top.

BLACK ENTERPRISE’s listing is a compilation of the best and brightest investment bankers, traders, asset managers, CEOs, and venture capitalists. Some physically operate on Wall Street while others ply their trade in cities across the globe. Pick a spot on the map–Chicago, San Francisco, London–and you’ll find one of our 75 power brokers in action.

Roughly 30 are top-tier professionals at financial behemoths. Another 33 are entrepreneurs who head the largest black-owned investment banks, asset management companies, and private equity firms. Whether they are heading major departments, managing core businesses, or running their own firms, these executives all have an impact on their companies’ bottom lines.

Our team of editors and reporters spent six months engaged in extensive research to identify the financial elite. This year’s roster outnumbers previous lists, growing to 75 members. One reason: the growth of private equity, the sector in which 18 of the power hitters operate.

Fourteen individuals who appeared on our 2002 list did not make the cut this time around. Some, such as C. Kim Goodwin, former chief investment officer at State Street Research & Management Co., retired from the industry. Some moved into different industries: For instance, top analyst Charles Phillips Jr. assumed the role of co-president and director of tech giant Oracle Corp.

The list includes seven professionals who have appeared on all three of our previous lists: They include Citigroup’s James F. Haddon, Bear Stearns’ William H. Hayden, Citigroup’s Raymond J. McGuire, Lazard’s William M. Lewis Jr., Merrill Lynch’s E. Stanley O’Neal, Utendahl Capital Partners’ John O. Utendahl, and Morgan Stanley’s George L. Van Amson.

Over the years there have been radical changes in the gender composition. In 1992 and 1996, only two women made our list–one of whom was William Blair principal Michelle L. Collins. In 2002, six women made our roster. This year’s listing features 11 women, including Collins, who resurfaced as co-founder of the private equity firm Svoboda, Collins L.L.C., and newcomer Amy Ellis-Simon, head of multiproduct sales for Merrill Lynch. She appeared on our “Up and Coming African Americans on Wall Street” list in 2002.

The pool of talent is impressive. Unfortunately the number of African American financial managers remains relatively small, and allegations of racism are still leveled at major firms. Despite being run by an African American, Merrill Lynch is being sued by 70 former and current employees who charge that it engages in discriminatory hiring and promotion practices. “African American movement within the industry has seen slow and steady progress, with incremental increases in minority recruitment,” says P. Michelle Holton, manager of inclusion at Edward Jones and chairwoman of the Securities Industry Association’s Diversity Committee. She concedes movement within the pipeline into senior management has remained inert. According to the U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, representation of African American officials and managers is the highest in the areas of banking/credit, at 7.0%, and the lowest in the securities industry, at 4.4%.

Those numbers speak volumes. Wall Street is still viewed a club steeped in exclusivity–a bastion of white male privilege. But Rogers says it’s not so much that African Americans are intentionally being kept out of the industry, but that “when deals are being cut we just aren’t even thought about.”

However, the impact of our 75 power players on the financial markets–and the world–has not gone unnoticed.”

I will now give ten names from the article and won’t list them all because that is proprietary research. I have decided to only list Investment Bankers, including one man that leads the same company that Reggie works for.

INVESTMENT BANKING
Gilbert E. Ahye
, SVP, Business Development and Mergers & Acquisitions, American Express Co., New York, NY, Age: 59
Bottom Line: Ahye is a key adviser to the American Express Global Leadership Team, developing new international business partnerships and executing mergers and acquisitions. Since assuming his current role three years ago, Ahye successfully led the acquisition of Threadneedle, a U.K.-based asset management company, which was recognized by Institutional Investor as the Asset Manager Deal of the Year for 2003. He also led AMEX’s efforts to dispose of several high-profile businesses, including the sale of the company’s ATM business to 7-Eleven in 2003 and the tax-free spin-off of Ameriprise Financial to shareholders in 2005.

INVESTMENT BANKING
Shawn D. Baldwin
, Chairman & CEO, Capital Management Group, Chicago, IL, Age: 40
Bottom Line: Baldwin is a Wall Street fast- tracker who has built his asset management and investment banking firm one acquisition at a time. The first possession was MuniDirect, an Atlanta-based domestic broker-dealer. Next, he acquired KCM Capital Management, an Anguilla-based off-shore broker-dealer. A BE 100s company, CMG has been involved in the General Electric spinoff of GenWorth Financial and Google’s IPO. Baldwin has participated in more than 72 transactions totaling more than $63 billion in value.

INVESTMENT BANKING
Bernard Beal
, CEO, M.R. Beal & Co., New York, NY, Age: 51
Bottom Line: Beal is at the helm of the sixth-largest black-owned investment bank with more than $42 billion in managed issues for 2005. Since its inception in 1988, M.R. Beal has grown to 45 professionals based in offices throughout New York; Sacramento, California; Chicago; Dallas; and Atlanta. Beal leads a team that has participated in $29.9 billion of municipal bond underwritings in 2005 and continues to rank among the top 20 underwriters of municipal securities worldwide.

INVESTMENT BANKING
Ronald E. Blaylock
, Chairman & CEO, Blaylock & Co., New York, NY, Age: 46
Bottom Line: Blaylock’s firm holds the No. 3 spot on the BE INVESTMENT BANKS list with $82.7 billion in total managed issues. The one time Georgetown University hoops star garnered an industry wide reputation in 1996 when the company became the first minority owned firm to lead a corporate bond underwriting. Blaylock continues to make some eye catching moves. In 2005, the firm served as a lead manager on a $1.6 billion bond financing for General Electric and its equity capital markets business and as a co-manager on Google’s $4 billion secondary offering.

INVESTMENT BANKING
Napolean Brandford III
, Chairman & Founding Partner, Siebert Brandford Shank & Co. L.L.C., New York, NY, Age: 54
Bottom Line: With 25 years of experience under his belt, Brandford is a seasoned public finance veteran. The founding partner manages the Texas and Western regions of SBS. Brandford maintains an active client list that includes many city and state agencies nationwide. An astute financial strategist, he competes against giant firms. Such power moves have worked well in building SBS and helped it seize the No. 4 spot on the BE INVESTMENT BANKS list with $50.6 billion in total managed issues.

INVESTMENT BANKING
Lloyd Campbell
, Managing Director, Rothschild Inc., New York, NY, Age: 48
Bottom Line: This son of a Tuskegee Airman is flying high. Not only does Campbell chair the Compensation and Promotion Committee for the North America division, he raises institutional capital for Five Arrows, the firm’s merchant banking arm. Outside of Wall Street, Campbell is making an impact as chairman and founder of Pride First Corp., a nonprofit organization committed to improving education among New York City youth.

INVESTMENT BANKING
Moctar A. Fall
, Managing Director & Head of Debt Capital Market for Emerging Markets, JPMorgan Emerging Markets, New York, NY, Age: 46
Bottom Line: A world class financier, Fall heads the Capital Markets Group, which is responsible for the origination of debt for issuers in Asia, Latin America, Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. His group also manages the Emerging Markets Debt Capital team in New York. Notable career moves: Fall headed the team that led the first Deutschmark Global Bond for the World Bank and headed a team that led the $4 billion. 30-year Brady exchange for Venezuela.

INVESTMENT BANKING
Gregg Gonsalves
, Partner & Managing Director, Industrial Group, Goldman Sachs & Co., New York, NY, Age: 38
Bottom Line: Several high profile mergers and acquisitions helped launch Gonsalves into a partnership position at Wall Street powerhouse Goldman Sachs in 2004. He has continued to impress with his prowess at structuring billion dollar transactions in the high stakes arenas of aerospace, defense, and technology. Most recently, he advised Boeing on the $1 billion sale of its Wichita parts manufacturing facility (Spirit AeroSystems) to Onex Corp. Gonsalves has been involved in mergers and acquisitions activity in industries ranging from automobile manufacturing to paper and forest products.

INVESTMENT BANKING
James F. Haddon
, Managing Director, Infrastructure Finance Group Municipal Securities, Citigroup, New York, NY, Age: 52
Bottom Line: During his 25-year tenure in the municipal finance industry at Citigroup and PaineWebber (now known as UBS), Haddon has served as senior book running manager for various municipal issues totaling in excess of $40 billion. He has been instrumental in structuring project financing to provide funds for convention centers, stadiums, transportation projects, and general municipal projects throughout the cities of New York; Detroit; Washington, D.C.; and more. Notable accomplishments include the $709 million tobacco securitization for New York City and the $515 million securitization of rum tax revenues for the U.S. Virgin Islands.

INVESTMENT BANKING
William H. Hayden
, Senior Managing Director, Bear, Stearns & Co. Inc., New York, NY, Age: 65
“I’m a Yankees fan,” says Hayden, with a heavy Boston accent that would suggest an affinity for the Bronx Bombers’ archrivals. “Because when I grew up in Boston, we were Brooklyn Dodger fans and the Red Sox had no blacks and no Hispanics and the black kids had nobody to root for.”

Hayden, who grew up about an hour outside of Boston in New Bedford, Massachusetts, has long been an advocate for diversity. Starting out on Wall Street in the early 1970s, there were virtually no other African Americans in investment banking. But a combination of smarts and know how helped him rise up the ranks. While he secured loads of business because of his acumen, he also got a little help here and there. In 1977, he was named senior banker of a $305 million offering used to finance construction of what is now Hartsfield/Jackson Airport in Atlanta after then mayor Maynard Jackson insisted that black bankers be part of the city’s bond offerings.

At 65, he’s long been a mainstay on Wall Street. After all, he’s helped fund billions of dollars in construction projects over his 30-plus year career. As senior managing director for Bear, Stearns & Co., Hayden oversees and develops ways of financing large government projects. His career highlights include developing financing strategies to construct the U.S. Open Stadium in New York and the Atlanta Hawks’ arena for Time Warner Turner Broadcasting.

While those were high profile transactions, it’s not as well known that the 1962 graduate of the University of Massachusetts Dartmouth is an avid African art collector. “I arrived here in New York almost 30 years ago. A friend, Eric Robertson, quit being a lawyer and went to Africa and brought back some art that I bought from him,” Hayden recalls. “And over the years he became one of the most well known black African art dealers in the world.”

Hayden is no slouch in the art world either. In fact, he’s had his works displayed in museums such as the Metropolitan Museum of Art and the Guggenheim. When he auctioned off roughly half of his 70 pieces, it was the first time an African American’s art collection was sold at the prestigious Sotheby’s. Much of his collection hails from the Yoruba people of West Africa.
-Alan Hughes

Selection criteria for the most powerful African Americans on Wall Street
* Those chosen are investment bankers, traders, asset managers, venture capitalists, or top executives with management responsibilities over these areas.
* They are responsible for the companys’ bottom line and execute transactions on a national or global scale.
* They have achieved the status of chief executive, president, partner, managing director, or other top ranking position at their firms and have significant management duties.
* They demonstrate significant influence within their company and throughout their industry.
* Entrepreneurs who own their own firms must operate investment banks that have managed more than $10 billion in total issues, asset management firms with at least $2 billion under management, private equity firms with at least $100 million in capital commitments, or perform as a leading firm that engages in unique or complex transactions.
* Candidates must work for a U.S. based company or the U.S. operations of a foreign based company.
* Candidates must have at least 10 years of experience in the financial services industry.

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To see the entire results of the article, please visit Black Enterprise magazine!

Skip the Cup with Handle (CTRP)

I should have skipped the cup with handle with CTRP in 2005 and bought the 200-day moving average trend buy.

Back on August 23, 2005, I wrote a case study on Ctrip.com Intl. (CTRP) while the stock was trading at a pre-split adjusted $53.57. I knew Chinese stocks were something to watch in the future, especially after the huge speculation runs of SINA and SOHU; so I took a position. Problem is, I took the position on the cup with handle breakout but was later forced to sell based on a sell stop and never caught the entire run (the market was shaky at the time).

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CTRP is one of the reasons over the past couple of years why I have minimized buying cup with handle breakouts and search dearly from 200-day moving average trend buys. Later in 2005, when I was forced to sell, the stock held support at the 200-d m.a. and never violated the long term average. This was the ideal trend buy for the young growth type stock. Instead of buying in 2005, I was selling. Now in 2006 and 2007, I do the opposite. I watch others buy the breakout and I enter my positions closer to major support areas such as the 200-d m.a. CTRP was one of the original high fliers from the Chinese market but several new faces are looking to take off, including MR which I highlighted yesterday.

I am reading a pamphlet from Investment U, titled Profit from China by John Wiley & Sons and it’s not bad. I found the quote by Jim Rogers (co-founder of the Quantum Fund) to probably be accurate:

“The nineteenth century belonged to Britain. The twentieth century belonged to the United States. And the twenty-first century will belong to China”

Past Blog Appearances by CTRP:
Ctrip.com (CTRP) Updated – 3/15/06

Tuesday’s MSW Daily Screen – 11/15/06

Here is some of the research from the case study I performed back in August 2005:
8/23/05
CASE STUDY – Cup with Handle Setup
CTRP – Ctrip.com Intl ADS

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Leisure Services – Transportation

3-Year EPS Rate: 113%
3-Year Sales Rate: 83%
ROE: 28%
PEG: 1.13

EPS Analysis:
2003: 0.06
2004: 1.02
2005: 1.48 (E) High estimate: 1.62
2006: 1.98 (E) High estimate: 2.39

Revenue: (in millions)
2003: 173.00
2004: 334.00

Net Income: (in millions)
2003: 53.8
2004: 133.00

Number of Institutions (last reporting period):
Total: 38
Money Mangers: 21
Mutual Funds: 16
Banks: 1
Insurance Co.: 0

New Positions: 16
Positions Sold Out: 9

Here are some Updated Numbers from 2007:

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3-Year Net Income: 150%
3-Year Sales Rate: 75%
ROE: 32%

EPS Analysis:
2005: 0.86
2004: 0.51
2003: 0.03

Revenue: (in millions)
2005: 67.18
2004: 40.32
2003: 20.91

Net Income: (in millions)
2005: 224.0
2004: 133.0
2003: 53.8

Number of Institutions (last reporting period):
Total: 60% Holdings
Money Market: 88
Mutual Funds: 158
Other: 11

As we can see, 67 new money mangers own the stock, 142 new mutual funds own shares and 10 other institutional holders have grabbed shares since my case study in 2005. This explains exactly why the 200-d m.a. held support at each challenge over the past two years.

This is basic common sense!

China’s Mindray Medical Intl. (MR)

Stock of the Day
Mindray Medical International Ltd.
Monday’s Closing Price: MR – $24.95

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Mindray Medical International Limited engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of medical devices in China. It offers approximately 40 products through its three segments: Patient Monitoring Devices, Diagnostic Laboratory Instruments, and Ultrasound Imaging Systems. The company’s Patient Monitoring Devices segment primarily offers portable PM-9000 multi-parameter patient monitoring device and approximately 15 patient monitoring devices. The Diagnostic Laboratory Instruments segment offers a range of approximately 10 hematology and biochemistry analyzers that perform analysis on blood, urine, and other bodily fluid samples for clinical diagnosis and treatment. The Ultrasound Imaging Systems segment offers approximately 10 ultrasound imaging systems and it would introduce the color Doppler ultrasound imaging system for use in several clinical areas, such as urology, gynecology, obstetrics, and cardiology. The company sells its products primarily to distributors and directly to hospitals, clinics, government agencies, original design manufacturers, and original equipment manufacturers. It also offers its products in Asia and Europe. Mindray Medical International was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People’s Republic of China – Provided by Yahoo Finance

What catches my eye the most about this stock is the number of shares bought and sold during the most recent reporting period! The buy to sell ratio is 39-to-1 which represents institutional accumulation in my opinion and I get warm and fuzzy when these professional buyers support a stock I own (disclosure: I do own shares prior to writing this post). The amount of fundamental data is limited on the young Chinese company but I have listed what I can find using a variety of sources (Yahoo giving me the most data).

Looking at the chart, we can see that the stock is gaining support along the 50-day moving average and is within 15% of a new all-time high (set back in December 2006 at $27.20). The weekly chart shows a flat base that has been forming over the past seven weeks with potential for an up-side breakout. A 200-d m.a. has not formed at this point in time but will be valuable in the future. Overall, I like this young stock and I like the market it comes from.

Here is an insert from a recent SFO magazine article:
Are Communists The World’s Best Capitalists?
by: Jim Trippon

How China has become a driving force in today’s marketplace.

“Find the Stars
I feel the key to success is to buy good companies. I recommend companies that will participate in the best of the Chinese growth story without exposing investors to undue risk. In the long run, I believe the Chinese big cap/value market will bounce above worldwide indices because of the continued growth of both internal and external consumer markets. Many blue-chip Chinese companies pay regular and reliable dividends. Substantial and dependable dividend payments have a soothing way of leveling out the bumps in a volatile market. A solid dividend, sometimes as high as seven percent, helps take the sting out of market volatility.”

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Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Equipment
52wk Range: 15.20 – 27.20

Institutional Numbers:
Money Market: 21
Mutual Fund: 75
Other: 4

Shares Bought Last Period: 6.4 million
Shares Sold Last Period: 0.2 million

Value of Shares Bought: $156.4 million
Value of Shares Sold: $4.9 million

Top Holder: Emerging Markets Management LLC
2.1 mil Shares for 0.20% of Portfolio
Total Equity Value of Portfolio: $3.2 billion

Available Fundamental Numbers:
Market Cap.: $1.33bb
P/E (ttm): 59.1
PEG Ratio: 1.42
Profit Margin (ttm): 24.68%
Operating Margin (ttm): 26.31%
Qtrly Revenue Growth (yoy): 21.60%
Qtrly Earnings Growth (yoy): 131.00%
Total Cash: 37.45M
Total Cash Per Share: 0.354
Total Debt: 5.55M
Total Debt/Equity: 0.021
Current Ratio: 6.712
Book Value Per Share: 2.539
Operating Cash Flow : 60.14M

Earnings:
Yearly (2007): 0.59E
Yearly (2006): 0.47E
Yearly (2005): 0.29

Revenue (millions):
Yearly (2007): 269.15E
Yearly (2006): 190.03E
Yearly (2005): 134.9

Growth Estimate (Next 5 years):
35.1%

Support at the 200-day Moving Average

The CANSLIM type stocks listed below are all familiar with their roles of market leadership within the past twelve months but they share another trait:

They are currently trading near support at their respective 200 day moving averages.

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Watching these stocks will also give us a clue to the overall market health as many of them have held support above the long term moving average over the past two years. It will be a major red flag to bulls if several of these stocks break support below the 200-d m.a. on above average volume and then fail to recover the line. Ultimately, the price and volume of the NASDAQ and other major indexes will give us the clue to a market breakdown but these stocks may send the red flags earlier putting us into defense mode. If they don’t breakdown, grab shares when you can along the 200-d m.a. and pyramid your profits higher.

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Use the peaks and valleys of the former price swings to develop risk/reward ratios to set stops, targets and position size your trades. Trade these types of stocks like a mechanical system and you will profit over the long term without much effort or concern. These guys have institutional support, so trade the trend until it breaks!

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Enjoy the Weekend!

Use PEG Ratio instead of P/E Ratio

PEG Ratio
A PEG ratio cannot be used alone but is a very powerful tool when integrated with the basics (price, volume and technical analysis). You must enjoy crunching numbers and have a calculator or spreadsheet handy to estimate your own PEG ratio. Access to quality statistical information from the web such as past earnings and future earning estimates is essential to calculate this fundamental indicator. A variety of websites produce a PEG ratio but I have not found one site that has a reliable PEG ratio that I can use for my own research, so I calculate it myself, ensuring accuracy with the final number. Besides, I don’t know what earnings numbers these sites are using to determine growth rates and price-to-earnings ratios.

Investopedia.com:
“The PEG ratio compares a stock’s price/earnings (“P/E”) ratio to its expected EPS growth rate. If the PEG ratio is equal to one, it means that the market is pricing the stock to fully reflect the stock’s EPS growth. This is “normal” in theory because, in a rational and efficient market, the P/E is supposed to reflect a stock’s future earnings growth.

If the PEG ratio is greater than one, it indicates that the stock is possibly overvalued or that the market expects future EPS growth to be greater than what is currently in the Street consensus number. Growth stocks typically have a PEG ratio greater than one because investors are willing to pay more for a stock that is expected to grow rapidly (otherwise known as “growth at any price”). It could also be that the earnings forecasts have been lowered while the stock price remains relatively stable for other reasons.

If the PEG ratio is less than one, it is a sign of a possibly undervalued stock or that the market does not expect the company to achieve the earnings growth that is reflected in the estimates. Value stocks usually have a PEG ratio less than one because the stock’s earnings expectations have risen and the market has not yet recognized the growth potential. On the other hand, it could also indicate that earnings expectations have fallen faster than the Street could issue new forecasts.”

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PEG Ratio Example:
TAM S.A. (TAM)
Yahoo Company Profile: TAM S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides scheduled air transportation services in Brazil and internationally. The company engages in the transportation of passengers and cargo within Brazil and on international routes. It offers flights serving various destinations in Brazil, as well as operates scheduled passenger and cargo air transport routes to 46 cities, in addition to a further 27 domestic destinations that the company serves through regional alliances with other airlines.

First, you will need to gather the past earnings numbers; going back a couple years and going forward a couple years. Keep in mind that the numbers going forward are only estimates and that is why this is only a secondary tool to help predict a future price or target.

TAM Earnings:
2005: 1.30
2006: 2.58
2007: 2.86
2008: 3.14

We need to calculate the growth from year to year.
Subtract the earnings of 2006 by 2005 and then divide by 2005.
Repeat the process to determine the growth rate for the following years:

2006: (2.58-1.30)/1.30 x 100 = 98% growth rate

2007: (2.86-2.58)/2.58 x 100 = 11% growth rate

2008: (3.14-2.86)/2.86 x 100 = 10% growth rate

Take the current price (we will use the close from Wednesday, January 24, 2007: $32.62) and divide it by 2006 earnings and then by the 2006 growth rate:
2006: 32.62/ 2.58 / 98 = 0.12 PEG Ratio
2007: 32.62/ 2.86 / 11 = 1.03 PEG Ratio
2008: 32.62/ 3.14 / 10 = 1.04 PEG Ratio

Using the definition from above, Investopedia states that a stock is evenly valued at a PEG ratio of 1 in a rational and efficient market. Please note that the stock market is not very rational or efficient so we only use this number as a secondary indicator and tool, after our fundamental and technical analysis is complete.

Once you determine the PEG ratio of the stock you are looking to buy, take the time to calculate the PEG ratio for the “sister stocks” in the industry group to see if they have higher or lower PEG ratios. Keep in mind, PEG ratios don’t work for companies with negative or non-existent earnings numbers.

Do you want to implement a PEG strategy into your fundamental arsenal; then think about this very basic example?

Let’s say we are looking at two stocks to purchase with these similar characteristics:
They are both trading near $20 per share.
Both stocks have a P/E ratio of 20 (they are trading at 20x’s their earnings)
The first stock grows earnings at a 10% annual rate
The second stock grows earnings at a 20% annual rate

Watch how the price will change in the future assuming that the P/E ratio remains unchanged:

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Stock ABC:
Starting Price: $20
Annual Earnings: 1.00
P/E: 20
PEG: 2.0

Stock XYZ:
Starting Price: $20
Annual Earnings: 1.00
P/E: 20
PEG: 1.0

Price in One Year:
Stock ABC: $22
Stock XYZ: $24

Potential Price in Three Years (based on Growth Ratios):
Stock ABC: $26.62
Stock XYZ: $34.56

* Using this very basic example, we can see that stock XYZ with the 1.0 PEG ratio should outperform the stock with the 2.0 PEG ratio due to the earnings growth rate. This is not guaranteed but can help when looking to make a purchase between two similar stocks.