Hot Stock Charts

Well, this is about as hot as it gets these days! It’s been difficult to find solid looking stock charts that are trending higher over the past three to six months but I continue to research. The overall market is still very weak so the lack of individual leaders is understandable. It’s not smart to buy against the grain of the market; swimming against the current is just plain stupid if you ask me. However, my attempt today is to post up a few positive looking charts that are showing up on my screens as potential leaders if and when a small rally occurs. Several of these stocks have crossed my screens since late 2008 and have been highlighted on the blog but LOPE is new one to the bunch.


Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) has a great looking up-trending chart since the day of its IPO and started to show up on my daily screens in late December (the most successful IPO in a long time – out of the box). This is definitely a stock that I would purchase if the market was showing strength. For now, I will stay on the sidelines until I can see some form of a rally starting to take place.

The other stocks listed below are also displaying nice technical characteristics in this murky environment which leads me to believe that they have potential to become market leaders in a rally. APEI is closely related to LOPE as these stocks typically do well when the market is in a recession. GXDX and ENSG are related to the healthcare and/or science industry which seems to do well when the economy has turned sour as well. Stocks such as APOL, COCO and CECO were superstars after 9-11 in the months leading up to the rally of 2003. Medical related stocks were also topping my charts in late 2002 and early 2003. Times seem to be repeating so we’ll have to wait for a market signal before jumping into any of these candidates.

In any evert, keep them on your watchlist.

  • APEI – American Public Education, Inc.
  • GXDX – Genoptix, Inc.
  • ENSG – The Ensign Group, Inc.

Several of these stocks have been highlighted in blog posts dating back to November – be patient! We’ll continue to sit on them until the time is right.




Marley and Me

My wife and I went to see the movie, Marley and Me, last night and loved it. What a tear jerker. One scene got me good because it reminded me of my childhood lab, Sunshine, and my current lab, Bob. We highly recommend dog lovers, animal lovers and everyone else that is looking for a feel good movie to check it out.

We read the book a few years ago after it was released and I remember my wife couldn’t finish the last chapter, she avoided it for months and for good reason (the movie does a great job with this aspect of the book). Excellent book – good movie. Below is a picture galley of my Marley: Bob.

Marley and Me Movie
John Grogan Blog

Pictures of my wonderful lab, Bob:






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Titan (TITN) Relative Strength

Stock of the Day – Update
Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN)
Friday’s Closing Price: TITN – $22.40

Titan Machinery Inc., which runs construction and agriculture equipment store,s raised its full-year guidance for revenue and earnings per share earlier this week. Its fiscal second-quarter profit more than doubled as all three of the company’s businesses posted revenue growth. Net income for the three months ended July 31 jumped to $3.3 million from $1.4 million a year earlier and revenue surged to $134.9 million from $85.8 million.

The stock has been holding up rather well despite the weakness in the current market (Thursday aside). Its relative strength rating is within the top 1-2% of all stocks trading and the EPS rating is in the top 1% of all stocks trading. Overall, TITN is a stock that I wouldn’t mind adding shares here at the long term moving average. Disclosure: I do own shares at this time.

Past (TITN) Titan Machinery Inc. Blog Posts

Money Makers: IPI and TITN

I have been away for the past few days but IPI and TITN continue to make new highs. The two stocks are up 49% and 69% respectively. I do need to catch up on responding to comments since last Thursday. Follow the trend – simple concept.

(IPI) Intrepid Potash, Inc.

(TITN) Titan Machinery Inc.

China Architectural Engineering (CAEI)

Stock of the Day
China Architectural Engineering, Inc.
Wednesday’s Closing Price: CAEI – $10.75

Sector: Industrial Goods
Industry: General Contractor
52-week Price: $4.75 – $27.25

June 6, 2008 Business Wire:

“China Architectural Engineering, Inc. (CAE) (AMEX:RCH), a leader in the design, engineering, fabrication and installation of high-end building envelope systems, today announced that the Company will ring the opening bell at the NASDAQ MarketSite in New York City’s Times Square on Thursday, June 12, 2008 at 9:30 a.m. EDT. The Company will commence trading on the NASDAQ Global Select Market under the ticker symbol “CAEI” on June 10, 2008.”

Although the company has “China” in its name, 45% of its revenue comes from Australia, Dubai, Qatar, the U.S. and Europe. Business week noted that growth should last well beyond the Olympic games this year because of robust orders in foreign markets.

The company’s order backlog is said to be at $100 million or 1/5th of its current market cap, a nice card to have up its sleeve in today’s world market.

The gap-up on the chart in May on huge volume concerns me when attempting to establish a solid risk/ reward trade strategy. I would like to see the gap fill prior to entering a position but I do see support along the 50-d m.a. or even $8 per share. I am going to set-up the “ideal trade” using the current moving average so we can cover a potential pull-back to the gap-up area noted on the charts.

Potential Trade Set-up:
Entry: $7.00
Risk is set at 1.0% of total portfolio or $1,000 of $100k
Stop Loss is 12% or $6.16 ($6.00 area)
Number of Shares: 1,190
Position Size is $8,334
Risk is $0.84
Target is $13 for a 7-to-1 risk/reward ratio

Key Fundamental Numbers:
Market Cap.: $547M
Outstanding Shares: 51.1M
EPS Growth (MRQ): 178%
EPS Growth (TTM): 135%
Revenue Growth (MRQ): 76%
Revenue Growth (TTM): 50%

Earnings per Share (EPS):
$0.50 Next year, +39%; High estimate $0.64, +77%
$0.36 current year, +71%
$0.21 last year, +50%
$0.14 previous year